Burkina Faso vs Moritanya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burkina Faso v Moritanya — Team-Based Signals
Burkina Faso vs Moritanya Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
Burkina Faso
HAZ
1-0
HT 1-0
Moritanya
AFUK
2-0
HT 2-0
Burkina Faso
AFUK
Burkina Faso 1-0 Moritanya — Actual Match Statistics
Burkina Faso nicked a narrow win over Moritanya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Burkina Faso as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Burkina Faso had 62% of the ball to Moritanya's 38%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.13 to 0.55.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Burkina Faso had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Burkina Faso and 1.00 for Moritanya.
What was the final score of Burkina Faso vs Moritanya?
Burkina Faso 1-0 Moritanya in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burkina Faso vs Moritanya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burkina Faso win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Burkina Faso 47%, draw 32%, Moritanya 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burkina Faso), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.