Tunus 0-1 Namibya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 16 Jan 2024

Tunus
0-1 HT 0-0
Namibya
📅16/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Afrika Uluslar Cup – 2023

Tunus vs Namibya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.54
Over 2.5
49%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.75
No
58%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
5.33
6+ Goals
9%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.78
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
23.45
X/1
12%
3.09
X/2
10%
15.9
X/X
8%
4.51
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
9%
16.1
2/X
7%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+12.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
61%
-10.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
39%
+10.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
32%
+10.1pp
58%
BTTS No
68%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tunus v Namibya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tunus EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Namibya EU Bookmakers 14%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.16/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.05
+99% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +61%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.2
10.3 Crosses 10.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3

Tunus 0-1 Namibya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tunus
0-1
AWAY Namibya
0.69 xG 1.76
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
339 Passes 191
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 21
POST-MATCH Tunus vs Namibya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Namibya edged past Tunus 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tunus at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Tunus had 61% of the ball to Namibya's 39%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.69 to 1.76.

What was the final score of Tunus vs Namibya?

Tunus 0-1 Namibya in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tunus vs Namibya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tunus win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Tunus 55%, draw 22%, Namibya 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tunus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tunus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFUK More Afrika Uluslar Cup
16 Jan 2024
17:00 Burkina Faso vs Moritanya Analysis →
23:00 Mali vs Güney Afrika Analysis →