Mali 2-0 Güney Afrika — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Africa Cup of Nations, 16 Jan 2024

Mali W→
2 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Güney Afrika
📅16/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Africa Cup of Nations – 2023

Mali vs Güney Afrika Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.79
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
17%
4.55
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
66%
1.52
Over
34%
2.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2.09
2-3
46%
1.83
4-5
14%
6.22
6+
2%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.46
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
5%
17.0
X/1
20%
3.63
X/2
8%
8.78
X/X
20%
3.61
2/1
3%
33.5
2/2
9%
8.33
2/X
4%
18.05
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Mali v Güney Afrika — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mali The Market 56%
Signal
AWAY Güney Afrika The Market 22%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.42 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.72
0.74 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.42
Strong Attack Strength Bad
Strong Defense Strength Bad
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2

Mali vs Güney Afrika Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mali
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Güney Afrika
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
393 Passes 480
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
The Meetings
13.10.2019 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika 2-1 HT 2-0 Mali Mali HAZ
02.02.2013 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika 1-1 HT 1-0 Mali Mali AFUK

Mali 2-0 Güney Afrika — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mali
2 - 0
AWAY Güney Afrika
2.10 xG 1.32
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
316 Passes 397
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Mali vs Güney Afrika
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mali had too much for Güney Afrika 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mali as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) landed.

On the day, Güney Afrika saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.10 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Güney Afrika led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Mali against 1.50 for Güney Afrika.

Mali vs Güney Afrika Result & Final Score

Mali 2 - 0 Güney Afrika in the Africa Cup of Nations on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mali vs Güney Afrika Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Mali win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Mali 54%, draw 30%, Güney Afrika 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AFUK More Africa Cup of Nations
16 Jan 2024
17:00 Burkina Faso vs Moritanya Analysis →
20:00 Tunus vs Namibya Analysis →