Mali vs Güney Afrika Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mali v Güney Afrika — Team-Based Signals
Mali vs Güney Afrika Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Mali
HAZ
1-1
HT 1-0
Mali
AFUK
Mali 2-0 Güney Afrika — Actual Match Statistics
Mali saw off Güney Afrika 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mali as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.
On the day, Mali had 46% of the ball to Güney Afrika's 54%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.10 to 1.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Güney Afrika led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mali and 1.50 for Güney Afrika.
What was the final score of Mali vs Güney Afrika?
Mali 2-0 Güney Afrika in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mali vs Güney Afrika?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mali win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mali 50%, draw 28%, Güney Afrika 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.