Golden Arrows 1-0 Richards Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
36%
2.77
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
15%
7.11
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.1pp
36%
Draw
33%
+3.9pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.0pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.1pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -23%
1.04/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.99
-14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.4 Crosses 23.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Golden Arrows
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Richards Bay
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
354 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-1 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
30.03.2024 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 2-1 HT 1-1 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
08.08.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 1-2 HT 0-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
08.04.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-1 HT 0-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
06.08.2022 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-2 HT 0-1 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Golden Arrows
1-0
AWAY Richards Bay
0.13 xG 1.49
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 7
265 Passes 230
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 25
27 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Golden Arrows edged past Richards Bay 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 36% / 31% — and on the day Golden Arrows made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Golden Arrows had 52% of the ball to Richards Bay's 48%, shots finished 4-20, expected goals 0.13 to 1.49 — the balance of chances actually favoured Richards Bay.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Golden Arrows had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Golden Arrows and 1.00 for Richards Bay.

What was the final score of Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay?

Golden Arrows 1-0 Richards Bay in the South Afrika - Premier League on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Golden Arrows 33%, draw 36%, Richards Bay 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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