Motagua 1-1 CS Cartagines — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup, 13 Aug 2026

📅13/08/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
13%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.87/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.08
+2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +111%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
16.0 Crosses 23.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
0W-1D-2L
AWAY CS Cartagines
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2025 Motagua Motagua 1-3 HT 0-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines CONOAK
22.10.2025 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-0 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua CONOAK
15.08.2025 Motagua Motagua 0-0 HT 0-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines CONOAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motagua
1-1
AWAY CS Cartagines
15 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Motagua vs CS Cartagines
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua and CS Cartagines couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Motagua at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 15-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CS Cartagines led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Motagua and 1.33 for CS Cartagines.

What was the final score of Motagua vs CS Cartagines?

Motagua 1-1 CS Cartagines in the CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup on 13/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs CS Cartagines?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Motagua 46%, draw 27%, CS Cartagines 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Motagua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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