Racing Ferrol 1-1 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 13 Aug 2026

📅13/08/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.8
Over
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.04
2-3
36%
1.73
4-5
23%
3.52
6+
10%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles The Market 33%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-37% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Aviles
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2026 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 2-2 HT 0-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS3
21.12.2025 Real Aviles Real Aviles 2-1 HT 1-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Ferrol and Real Aviles shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Aviles led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Racing Ferrol and 2.00 for Real Aviles.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Real Aviles?

Racing Ferrol 1-1 Real Aviles in the Friendlies on 13/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 39%, draw 31%, Real Aviles 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Racing Ferrol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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