Zhejiang G. FC 3-4 Shanghai Shenhua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 13 Sep 2024

Zhejiang G. FC
3-4 HT 2-2
Shanghai Shenhua
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Zhejiang G. FC vs Shanghai Shenhua Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.41
No
37%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.68
2-3 Goals
31%
2.02
4-5 Goals
38%
2.62
6+ Goals
9%
6.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.75
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
22.7
1/X
9%
12.15
X/1
7%
6.49
X/2
15%
5.68
X/X
11%
5.76
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
17%
3.11
2/X
7%
12.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+1.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
67%
-4.1pp
37%
BTTS No
33%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zhejiang G. FC v Shanghai Shenhua — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 45%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.39/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.90
-25% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +109%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
14.9 Crosses 15.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0

Zhejiang G. FC vs Shanghai Shenhua Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.04 xG 1.74
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
401 Passes 195
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 4-0 HT 2-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
04.11.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-2 HT 0-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
07.07.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
05.12.2022 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 0-2 HT 0-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
10.09.2022 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN

Zhejiang G. FC 3-4 Shanghai Shenhua — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
3-4
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.31 xG 2.82
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 12
7 Corners 5
370 Passes 298
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 19
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zhejiang G. FC vs Shanghai Shenhua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua squeezed past Zhejiang G. FC 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shanghai Shenhua as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Zhejiang G. FC had 54% of the ball to Shanghai Shenhua's 46%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.31 to 2.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shanghai Shenhua's control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zhejiang G. FC and 1.40 for Shanghai Shenhua.

What was the final score of Zhejiang G. FC vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Zhejiang G. FC 3-4 Shanghai Shenhua in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhejiang G. FC vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zhejiang G. FC 31%, draw 27%, Shanghai Shenhua 42%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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