Shandong Taishan 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.66
2-3 Goals
43%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.5
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
20%
4.72
X/2
7%
8.13
X/X
9%
5.37
2/1
4%
21.85
2/2
15%
5.36
2/X
9%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.27/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.35
+40% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
26.0 Crosses 18.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.31 xG 0.73
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
384 Passes 255
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.07.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-4 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNK
13.07.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 1-1 HT 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
04.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-0 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
05.04.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
15.09.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-2 HT 3-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
28.05.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan
0-1
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.63 xG 0.79
64% Ball Possession 36%
25 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 8
410 Passes 208
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
51 Box Touches 15
46 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon edged past Shandong Taishan 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Shandong Taishan at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shandong Taishan had 64% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 36%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 2.63 to 0.79 — on chances, Shandong Taishan could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Shandong Taishan and 0.50 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Shandong Taishan 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 47%, draw 24%, Qingdao Jonoon 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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