Paderborn 07 II 1-2 Gütersloh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-3.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gütersloh EU Bookmakers 34%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.71/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.52
+1% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
353 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn 07 II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Gütersloh
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.01.2024 Gütersloh Gütersloh 1-3 HT 0-2 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
30.07.2023 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II 3-2 HT 0-0 Gütersloh Gütersloh ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paderborn 07 II
1-2
AWAY Gütersloh
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paderborn 07 II vs Gütersloh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gütersloh nicked a narrow win over Paderborn 07 II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Paderborn 07 II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Paderborn 07 II had 58% of the ball to Gütersloh's 42%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Paderborn 07 II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Paderborn 07 II and 1.50 for Gütersloh.

What was the final score of Paderborn 07 II vs Gütersloh?

Paderborn 07 II 1-2 Gütersloh in the Germany - Regional League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn 07 II vs Gütersloh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn 07 II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 07 II 45%, draw 28%, Gütersloh 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paderborn 07 II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paderborn 07 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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