Gütersloh 1-3 Paderborn 07 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-10.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.9pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gütersloh EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 31%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.66/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.52
-4% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gütersloh
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Paderborn 07 II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
30.07.2023 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II 3-2 HT 0-0 Gütersloh Gütersloh ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gütersloh
1-3
AWAY Paderborn 07 II
67% Ball Possession 33%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gütersloh vs Paderborn 07 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn 07 II beat Gütersloh 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Paderborn 07 II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gütersloh had 67% of the ball to Paderborn 07 II's 33%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Gütersloh vs Paderborn 07 II?

Gütersloh 1-3 Paderborn 07 II in the Germany - Regional League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gütersloh vs Paderborn 07 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gütersloh win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gütersloh 36%, draw 31%, Paderborn 07 II 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gütersloh), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gütersloh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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