Babelsberg 1-0 Eilenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
29%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
61%
-16.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.74/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.76
-19% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babelsberg
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Eilenburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.08.2023 Eilenburg Eilenburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
29.04.2022 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
24.11.2021 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-0 HT 1-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Babelsberg
1-0
AWAY Eilenburg
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Babelsberg vs Eilenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babelsberg nicked a narrow win over Eilenburg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Babelsberg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Babelsberg had 61% of the ball to Eilenburg's 39%, shots finished 19-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Babelsberg had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Babelsberg and 0.33 for Eilenburg.

What was the final score of Babelsberg vs Eilenburg?

Babelsberg 1-0 Eilenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babelsberg vs Eilenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babelsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Babelsberg 45%, draw 26%, Eilenburg 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babelsberg), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Babelsberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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