Fortuna Düsseldorf II 3-2 Wegberg-Beeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.8pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Wegberg-Beeck EU Bookmakers 28%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.54/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.72
-17% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Wegberg-Beeck
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
29.07.2023 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
18.12.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-3 HT 1-1 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck ALMBÖL
21.08.2021 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck 1-2 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
07.11.2020 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-0 HT 0-0 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck ALMBÖL
20.01.2018 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-1 HT 1-1 Wegberg-Beeck Wegberg-Beeck HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II
3-2
AWAY Wegberg-Beeck
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Wegberg-Beeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf II nicked a narrow win over Wegberg-Beeck 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf II had 63% of the ball to Wegberg-Beeck's 37%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wegberg-Beeck led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf II and 1.20 for Wegberg-Beeck.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Wegberg-Beeck?

Fortuna Düsseldorf II 3-2 Wegberg-Beeck in the Germany - Regional League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Wegberg-Beeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf II 45%, draw 22%, Wegberg-Beeck 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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