Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-0 Energie Cottbus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Jan 2024

Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2-0 HT 1-0
Energie Cottbus
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Energie Cottbus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Erfurt v Energie Cottbus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.25/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.29
-10% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Energie Cottbus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Energie Cottbus
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
13.05.2023 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
04.12.2022 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-2 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus ALMBÖL
07.05.2016 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-1 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
28.11.2015 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 2-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt AL3
31.01.2015 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-0 HT 1-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-0 Energie Cottbus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2-0
AWAY Energie Cottbus
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Energie Cottbus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt beat Energie Cottbus 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Energie Cottbus at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Erfurt had 30% of the ball to Energie Cottbus's 70%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Energie Cottbus led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rot-Weiss Erfurt and 1.17 for Energie Cottbus.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Energie Cottbus?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-0 Energie Cottbus in the Germany - Regional League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Energie Cottbus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Energie Cottbus win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 27%, draw 29%, Energie Cottbus 44%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Energie Cottbus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Energie Cottbus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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