KTP Kotka 1-2 JaPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.25
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
4.0
Over 2.5
67%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
10.05
2-3 Goals
37%
2.56
4-5 Goals
32%
2.32
6+ Goals
16%
3.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
76%
-16.1pp
20%
Draw
14%
+6.7pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.4pp
33%
Under 2.5
22%
+11.7pp
67%
Over 2.5
78%
-11.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY JaPS EU Bookmakers 12%
-1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
2.70/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.19
+13% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
448 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
3W-2D-1L
AWAY JaPS
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2024 JaPS JaPS 0-0 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
03.05.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-0 HT 0-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
27.01.2024 JaPS JaPS 1-1 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FINYK
09.09.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 6-0 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FINY
22.07.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 3-1 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
20.05.2022 JaPS JaPS 2-1 HT 1-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
1-2
AWAY JaPS
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs JaPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JaPS nicked a narrow win over KTP Kotka 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. KTP Kotka carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 55% of the ball to JaPS's 45%, shots finished 14-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for KTP Kotka and 0.67 for JaPS.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs JaPS?

KTP Kotka 1-2 JaPS in the Finland - Ykkönen on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs JaPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 60%, draw 20%, JaPS 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KTP Kotka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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