Gwangju 2-1 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
4.32
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.06
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
5%
13.5
X/1
13%
5.56
X/2
17%
5.25
X/X
13%
4.05
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
10%
3.75
2/X
11%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
0.81/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.78
-29% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.7 Crosses 22.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
413 Passes 315
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
17.03.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
03.12.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
13.08.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
03.06.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 4-2 HT 1-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
08.04.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
2-1
AWAY Pohang Steelers
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 Passes 312
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju squeezed past Pohang Steelers 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Gwangju made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gwangju had 53% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 47%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gwangju and 1.17 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers?

Gwangju 2-1 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 36%, draw 29%, Pohang Steelers 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gwangju), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gwangju) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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