ATK Mohun Bagan 2-2 Mumbai City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 13 Sep 2024

ATK Mohun Bagan
2-2 HT 2-0
Mumbai City
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
India - Super League – 2025/2026

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ATK Mohun Bagan v Mumbai City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.13/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.24
-4% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
20.7 Crosses 19.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mumbai City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.09 xG 1.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
276 Passes 307
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.05.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-3 HT 1-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
15.04.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 HT 1-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
20.12.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-1 HT 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
14.01.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 0-1 HT 0-1 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
06.11.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-2 HT 1-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
03.02.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-1 HT 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL

ATK Mohun Bagan 2-2 Mumbai City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
2-2
AWAY Mumbai City
0.08 xG 1.10
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
286 Passes 348
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan and Mumbai City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, ATK Mohun Bagan had 46% of the ball to Mumbai City's 54%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.08 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 1.67 for Mumbai City.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City?

ATK Mohun Bagan 2-2 Mumbai City in the India - Super League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 34%, draw 27%, Mumbai City 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mumbai City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mumbai City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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