Damac FC 3-1 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒18:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
14%
4.17
6+ Goals
8%
20.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 40% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.4pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.37/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.18
-19% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
18.7 Crosses 19.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Damac FC
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.91 xG 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
339 Passes 302
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-2 HT 0-2 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
26.10.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
3-1
AWAY Al Akhdoud
2.31 xG 1.23
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 11
205 Passes 341
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 39
12 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Damac FC got the better of Al Akhdoud 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Damac FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Damac FC had 40% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 60%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 2.31 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Damac FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Damac FC and 0.50 for Al Akhdoud.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al Akhdoud?

Damac FC 3-1 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Damac FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 42%, draw 26%, Al Akhdoud 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Damac FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Damac FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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