Slavia Prag 3-1 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.22
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.25
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals
28%
2.49
6+ Goals
13%
5.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
2%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
78%
-1.3pp
14%
Draw
15%
-0.6pp
9%
Away Win
7%
+2.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +22%
2.71/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.35
+20% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
43.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
32.7 Crosses 14.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Prag
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Karvina
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.53 xG 0.33
58% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
318 Passes 202
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.04.2025 Karvina Karvina 0-4 HT 0-2 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
10.11.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 5-1 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
18.02.2024 Karvina Karvina 0-3 HT 0-2 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
03.09.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 5-1 HT 3-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
05.02.2022 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 0-1 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
29.08.2021 Karvina Karvina 3-3 HT 1-2 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Prag
3-1
AWAY Karvina
3.79 xG 1.41
61% Ball Possession 39%
26 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 2
269 Passes 151
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
54 Box Touches 19
32 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slavia Prag vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Prag saw off Karvina 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Slavia Prag as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Slavia Prag had 61% of the ball to Karvina's 39%, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 3.79 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Prag had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Slavia Prag and 1.00 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Slavia Prag vs Karvina?

Slavia Prag 3-1 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Prag vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Slavia Prag 77%, draw 14%, Karvina 9%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Prag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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