Teplice 2-3 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.9
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
9%
8.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 25% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teplice EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.04/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.04
-5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
21.9 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teplice
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.21 xG 0.53
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
234 Passes 372
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
08.02.2025 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-1 HT 1-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
01.09.2024 Teplice Teplice 1-2 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
13.04.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-2 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
04.11.2023 Teplice Teplice 1-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
25.04.2023 Teplice Teplice 1-1 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teplice
2-3
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
2.06 xG 1.83
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
117 Passes 321
65% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Teplice vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav squeezed past Teplice 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Teplice at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Teplice had 33% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 67%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.06 to 1.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Teplice and 1.17 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Teplice vs Mlada Boleslav?

Teplice 2-3 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teplice vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Teplice win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Teplice 47%, draw 22%, Mlada Boleslav 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Teplice), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Teplice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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