Viktoria Plzen 1-0 Sigma Olomouc — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
16%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
9.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
29%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
60%
+0.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.61/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
+7% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
22.0 Crosses 17.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.18 xG 1.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
252 Passes 255
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2025 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-2 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
03.02.2025 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-1 HT 2-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
17.09.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-1 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
17.12.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-3 HT 1-2 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
16.11.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-3 HT 1-2 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEKK
20.08.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-1 HT 2-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
1-0
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
3.82 xG 1.21
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 5
247 Passes 200
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
33 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen nicked a narrow win over Sigma Olomouc 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Viktoria Plzen as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 55% of the ball to Sigma Olomouc's 45%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 3.82 to 1.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Viktoria Plzen's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 1.17 for Sigma Olomouc.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc?

Viktoria Plzen 1-0 Sigma Olomouc in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 60%, draw 24%, Sigma Olomouc 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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