Mlada Boleslav 1-0 Teplice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Teplice EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.77/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.07
+23% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 76%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
17.9 Crosses 27.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Teplice
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
349 Passes 246
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-1 HT 1-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
01.09.2024 Teplice Teplice 1-2 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
13.04.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-2 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
04.11.2023 Teplice Teplice 1-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
25.04.2023 Teplice Teplice 1-1 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
06.11.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-0 HT 1-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
1-0
AWAY Teplice
0.20 xG 0.80
63% Ball Possession 37%
3 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
438 Passes 197
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav squeezed past Teplice 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mlada Boleslav as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 63% of the ball to Teplice's 37%, shots finished 3-10, expected goals 0.20 to 0.80 — the balance of chances actually favoured Teplice.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 1.00 for Teplice.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice?

Mlada Boleslav 1-0 Teplice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 41%, draw 29%, Teplice 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mlada Boleslav), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✓ Under 2.5
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