Sparta Prag vs Jablonec Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sparta Prag v Jablonec — Team-Based Signals
Sparta Prag vs Jablonec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sparta Prag 1-3 Jablonec — Actual Match Statistics
Jablonec put daylight between themselves and Sparta Prag 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-2.
File this under upsets: a 63% lean on Sparta Prag went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 52% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.
The match data tells the story: possession split 57% to 43% in Sparta Prag's favour, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 0.96 to 1.43.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.67 a game for Sparta Prag against 0.67 for Jablonec.
Sparta Prag vs Jablonec Result & Final Score
Sparta Prag 1 - 3 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sparta Prag vs Jablonec Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 63%, draw 22%, Jablonec 15%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Prag) went the other way.