Sparta Prag vs Jablonec Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sparta Prag v Jablonec — Team-Based Signals
Sparta Prag vs Jablonec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 3-0
Jablonec
ÇEK
1-5
HT 0-5
Sparta Prag
ÇEK
3-0
HT 1-0
Jablonec
ÇEK
1-1
HT 1-1
Sparta Prag
ÇEK
Sparta Prag 1-3 Jablonec — Actual Match Statistics
Jablonec got the better of Sparta Prag 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Sparta Prag at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Sparta Prag had 57% of the ball to Jablonec's 43%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 0.96 to 1.43.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sparta Prag and 0.67 for Jablonec.
What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Jablonec?
Sparta Prag 1-3 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Jablonec?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 52%, draw 24%, Jablonec 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Prag) went the other way.