Sparta Prag 2-1 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
28%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
9.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-10.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
2.36/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.12
+17% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 68%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
23.2 Crosses 19.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Jablonec
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.33 xG 0.62
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
320 Passes 273
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 1-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
09.12.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-0 HT 3-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
12.08.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-5 HT 0-5 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
19.02.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-0 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
30.08.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
09.03.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
2-1
AWAY Jablonec
1.45 xG 1.18
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 0
382 Passes 195
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
41 Box Touches 10
33 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag nicked a narrow win over Jablonec 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 64% of the ball to Jablonec's 36%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.45 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sparta Prag and 0.67 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Jablonec?

Sparta Prag 2-1 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 48%, draw 25%, Jablonec 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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