Mlada Boleslav 1-3 Sigma Olomouc — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -17%
1.64/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.70
+24% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
17.8 Crosses 20.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
3.94 xG 1.34
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
275 Passes 221
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 3-2 HT 2-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
16.03.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-1 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
07.10.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 4-0 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
18.03.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-0 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
01.10.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-1 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
13.05.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 1-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
1-3
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
1.92 xG 1.14
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
400 Passes 203
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
31 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Sigma Olomouc
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sigma Olomouc got the better of Mlada Boleslav 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Mlada Boleslav at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 62% of the ball to Sigma Olomouc's 38%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.92 to 1.14 — the balance of chances actually favoured Mlada Boleslav.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sigma Olomouc led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 2.17 for Sigma Olomouc.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Sigma Olomouc?

Mlada Boleslav 1-3 Sigma Olomouc in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Sigma Olomouc?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 41%, draw 29%, Sigma Olomouc 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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