Falkirk vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities
Falkirk v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals
Falkirk vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Falkirk 1-2 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics
St. Mirren edged past Falkirk 2-1 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
We leaned Falkirk at 43% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, possession split 60% to 40% in Falkirk's favour, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.70 to 1.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Falkirk against 1.17 for St. Mirren.
Falkirk vs St. Mirren Result & Final Score
Falkirk 1 - 2 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Falkirk vs St. Mirren Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 43%, draw 28%, St. Mirren 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Falkirk), Under 2.5 went the other way.