Falkirk 1-2 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 13 Sep 2025

Falkirk
1-2 HT 0-0
St. Mirren
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Falkirk vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 30% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.05
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
12%
5.03
X/2
11%
6.62
X/X
13%
4.58
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
14%
4.68
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Falkirk v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
2.02/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.24
+28% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 70%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
22.0 Crosses 24.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Falkirk vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
3W-2D-1L
AWAY St. Mirren
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
The Meetings
28.04.2018 Falkirk Falkirk 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKCL
17.04.2018 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-2 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
21.10.2017 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKCL
05.08.2017 St. Mirren St. Mirren 3-1 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
15.04.2017 Falkirk Falkirk 2-2 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKCL
28.01.2017 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-2 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL

Falkirk 1-2 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Falkirk
1-2
AWAY St. Mirren
0.70 xG 1.57
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
372 Passes 227
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren edged past Falkirk 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Falkirk at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Falkirk had 60% of the ball to St. Mirren's 40%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.70 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Falkirk and 1.17 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs St. Mirren?

Falkirk 1-2 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 41%, draw 28%, St. Mirren 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKP More Scotland - Premiership
13 Sep 2025
17:00 Rangers vs Hearts Analysis →
17:00 Aberdeen vs Livingston Analysis →
17:00 Dundee FC vs Motherwell Analysis →
19:45 Hibernian vs Dundee United Analysis →