Dundee FC 1-1 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.82
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
8%
6.59
X/2
18%
4.82
X/X
13%
4.58
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
16%
2.99
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
1.22/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.99
+20% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
251 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 73%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
20.5 Crosses 25.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Motherwell
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.95 xG 1.64
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
322 Passes 244
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
26.02.2025 Motherwell Motherwell 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
04.12.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 4-1 HT 1-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
19.10.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
06.04.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-3 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
02.12.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 3-3 HT 1-2 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
1-1
AWAY Motherwell
0.82 xG 2.28
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
260 Passes 577
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
11 Box Touches 36
19 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC and Motherwell shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Motherwell at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dundee FC had 34% of the ball to Motherwell's 66%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.82 to 2.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dundee FC and 1.83 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Motherwell?

Dundee FC 1-1 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 31%, draw 26%, Motherwell 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Motherwell), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motherwell) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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