Motherwell 2-1 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.83
6+ Goals
11%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.3
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
14%
5.15
X/2
11%
6.3
X/X
11%
4.42
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
17%
4.5
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motherwell EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.36/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.60
+4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 69%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
21.3 Crosses 19.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motherwell
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.33 xG 0.85
49% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
238 Passes 294
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 4-1 HT 1-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
19.10.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
06.04.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-3 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
02.12.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 3-3 HT 1-2 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
05.08.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
05.03.2022 Motherwell Motherwell 1-1 HT 1-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motherwell
2-1
AWAY Dundee FC
1.10 xG 1.42
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 10
222 Passes 368
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Motherwell vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell nicked a narrow win over Dundee FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Motherwell as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Motherwell had 41% of the ball to Dundee FC's 59%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.10 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Motherwell and 2.00 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Motherwell vs Dundee FC?

Motherwell 2-1 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 41%, draw 25%, Dundee FC 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Motherwell)
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