Dundee FC 4-1 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.43
6+ Goals
13%
12.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.79
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
11%
12.95
X/1
16%
4.7
X/2
17%
7.37
X/X
9%
4.77
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
10%
5.26
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.33/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.30
-12% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
277 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 68%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
21.5 Crosses 20.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Motherwell
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
251 Passes 230
65% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
06.04.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-3 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
02.12.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 3-3 HT 1-2 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
05.08.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
05.03.2022 Motherwell Motherwell 1-1 HT 1-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
27.11.2021 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
4-1
AWAY Motherwell
0.60 xG 1.89
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
341 Passes 194
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 37
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC swept aside Motherwell 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Dundee FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dundee FC had 58% of the ball to Motherwell's 42%, shots finished 9-24, expected goals 0.60 to 1.89 — on chances, Motherwell could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dundee FC and 1.33 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Motherwell?

Dundee FC 4-1 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 39%, draw 26%, Motherwell 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dundee FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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