Aberdeen 0-1 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 4 Dec 2024

📅04/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.78
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
58%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
6.19
2-3 Goals
38%
2.11
4-5 Goals
23%
2.59
6+ Goals
13%
5.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
15.3
1/2
5%
21.25
1/X
7%
22.55
X/1
9%
21.5
X/2
16%
3.63
X/X
9%
9.11
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
37%
1.46
2/X
5%
23.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+11.6pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.4pp
58%
Away Win
74%
-15.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+11.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-11.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 79%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
0.97/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/0.78
+61% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +6%
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
208 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 479 · 83%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.0
14.6 Crosses 24.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Celtic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.42 xG 3.15
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
171 Passes 572
60% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 50
17 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2024 Celtic Celtic 6-0 HT 3-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
19.10.2024 Celtic Celtic 2-2 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
20.04.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-3 HT 1-1 Celtic Celtic İKK
03.02.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-1 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
12.11.2023 Celtic Celtic 6-0 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
13.08.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-3 HT 1-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
0-1
AWAY Celtic
0.87 xG 1.62
26% Ball Possession 74%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 10
174 Passes 641
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 35
8 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic nicked a narrow win over Aberdeen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Aberdeen had 26% of the ball to Celtic's 74%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.87 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aberdeen and 3.50 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Celtic?

Aberdeen 0-1 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 21%, draw 20%, Celtic 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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