Celtic 2-2 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 19 Oct 2024

Celtic
2-2 HT 2-0
Aberdeen
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Celtic vs Aberdeen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.62
2-3 Goals
36%
2.14
4-5 Goals
28%
2.5
6+ Goals
14%
5.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.35
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
27.0
X/1
23%
3.54
X/2
5%
26.0
X/X
10%
10.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
21.45
2/2
6%
18.45
2/X
7%
25.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 12% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
77%
-14.1pp
21%
Draw
14%
+7.0pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+7.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celtic v Aberdeen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
2.73/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.54
+14% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -15%
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
506 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 197 · 68%
44.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
28.1 Crosses 11.4
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Celtic vs Aberdeen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Aberdeen
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.93 xG 0.99
73% Ball Possession 27%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
604 Passes 161
85% Pass Accuracy 62%
50 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-3 HT 1-1 Celtic Celtic İKK
03.02.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-1 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
12.11.2023 Celtic Celtic 6-0 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
13.08.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-3 HT 1-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
27.05.2023 Celtic Celtic 5-0 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
18.02.2023 Celtic Celtic 4-0 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic and Aberdeen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Celtic carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Celtic and 0.83 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Aberdeen?

Celtic 2-2 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Celtic 63%, draw 21%, Aberdeen 15%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celtic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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