Dundee United 3-2 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.99
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.85
X/2
15%
5.37
X/X
13%
4.43
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
16%
3.54
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.35/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.13
-17% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
265 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 70%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
23.0 Crosses 21.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hibernian
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.77 xG 1.22
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
194 Passes 398
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 2-1 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
14.01.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-2 HT 1-2 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
11.10.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
02.04.2022 Hibernian Hibernian 1-1 HT 1-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
26.12.2021 Dundee United Dundee United 1-3 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
16.10.2021 Hibernian Hibernian 0-3 HT 0-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
3-2
AWAY Hibernian
1.79 xG 0.71
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
213 Passes 275
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United nicked a narrow win over Hibernian 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Dundee United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dundee United had 46% of the ball to Hibernian's 54%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.79 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dundee United and 1.17 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Hibernian?

Dundee United 3-2 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 36%, draw 25%, Hibernian 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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