St. Johnstone 1-0 Ross County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
4.72
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.45
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
17%
5.01
X/2
13%
6.14
X/X
13%
3.9
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
17%
4.71
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ross County EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
0.96/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.02
-23% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
248 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 66%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.2 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ross County
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.57 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
215 Passes 263
64% Pass Accuracy 69%
14 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 3-0 HT 2-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
21.09.2024 Ross County Ross County 3-3 HT 1-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
15.05.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 0-1 Ross County Ross County İKP
03.02.2024 Ross County Ross County 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
11.11.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
12.08.2023 Ross County Ross County 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
1-0
AWAY Ross County
1.19 xG 0.26
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
388 Passes 141
79% Pass Accuracy 57%
24 Box Touches 11
38 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Ross County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone nicked a narrow win over Ross County 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 35% — and on the day St. Johnstone made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 67% of the ball to Ross County's 33%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.19 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.00 for Ross County.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Ross County?

St. Johnstone 1-0 Ross County in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Ross County?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 36%, draw 28%, Ross County 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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