Ross County 3-3 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 21 Sep 2024

Ross County
3-3 HT 1-1
St. Johnstone
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Ross County vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.68
Over 2.5
53%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
4.26
6+ Goals
14%
21.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.26 — our 24% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.59
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
13%
4.08
X/2
12%
7.75
X/X
10%
4.32
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.0
2/2
14%
6.34
2/X
9%
15.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ross County v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +27%
1.55/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.20
+7% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
272 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 63%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
19.8 Crosses 17.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Ross County vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
2W-2D-2L
AWAY St. Johnstone
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
224 Passes 196
64% Pass Accuracy 62%
23 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.05.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 0-1 Ross County Ross County İKP
03.02.2024 Ross County Ross County 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
11.11.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
12.08.2023 Ross County Ross County 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
24.05.2023 Ross County Ross County 3-3 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
08.04.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-2 HT 0-1 Ross County Ross County İKP

Ross County 3-3 St. Johnstone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ross County
3-3
AWAY St. Johnstone
1.28 xG 0.55
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
295 Passes 247
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ross County vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ross County and St. Johnstone shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ross County at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ross County had 52% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 48%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.28 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ross County and 1.00 for St. Johnstone.

What was the final score of Ross County vs St. Johnstone?

Ross County 3-3 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ross County 41%, draw 27%, St. Johnstone 33%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ross County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ross County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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