Hearts vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hearts v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals
Hearts vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hearts 3-1 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts saw off St. Mirren 3-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
As we said in the preview, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 52%.
Under the surface, Hearts had 55% of the ball to St. Mirren's 45%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.34 to 1.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hearts and 1.00 for St. Mirren.
Hearts vs St. Mirren Result & Final Score
Hearts 3 - 1 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hearts vs St. Mirren Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hearts 53%, draw 26%, St. Mirren 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.