Hearts vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hearts v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals
Hearts vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Hearts
İKP
2-0
HT 1-0
St. Mirren
İKP
Hearts 3-1 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts saw off St. Mirren 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Hearts had 55% of the ball to St. Mirren's 45%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.34 to 1.14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hearts and 1.00 for St. Mirren.
What was the final score of Hearts vs St. Mirren?
Hearts 3-1 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hearts vs St. Mirren?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hearts 43%, draw 27%, St. Mirren 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.