Kilmarnock 2-4 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
5.09
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
43%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
8.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.41 — our 25% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
9.85
1/2
6%
20.7
1/X
8%
17.95
X/1
14%
12.4
X/2
16%
4.04
X/X
11%
6.38
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
1.8
2/X
5%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
17%
+15.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
44%
Away Win
63%
-19.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 67%
+13% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.19/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.90
+0% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +8%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
232 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 82%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.4
21.2 Crosses 22.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Rangers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.84 xG 3.12
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 9
174 Passes 448
61% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 37
17 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.12.2024 Rangers Rangers 6-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
20.10.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
05.05.2024 Rangers Rangers 4-1 HT 1-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
28.02.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-2 HT 1-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
02.01.2024 Rangers Rangers 3-1 HT 2-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
05.08.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
2-4
AWAY Rangers
1.38 xG 1.84
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
165 Passes 347
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rangers saw off Kilmarnock 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rangers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 38% of the ball to Rangers's 62%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.38 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kilmarnock and 2.50 for Rangers.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Rangers?

Kilmarnock 2-4 Rangers in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 32%, draw 25%, Rangers 44%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rangers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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