Kilmarnock 1-0 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
48%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.37
2-3 Goals
45%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
8.54
1/2 EV+
10%
21.1
1/X
9%
16.55
X/1
8%
11.55
X/2
13%
3.84
X/X
9%
6.17
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.9
2/X
6%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+10.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
48%
Away Win
60%
-11.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 64%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.10/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.77
+11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +26%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 84%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.3
20.0 Crosses 22.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Rangers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.97 xG 2.57
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
162 Passes 501
61% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.05.2024 Rangers Rangers 4-1 HT 1-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
28.02.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-2 HT 1-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
02.01.2024 Rangers Rangers 3-1 HT 2-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
05.08.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
04.03.2023 Rangers Rangers 3-1 HT 3-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
18.01.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-3 HT 1-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock nicked a narrow win over Rangers 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rangers at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kilmarnock and 2.50 for Rangers.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Rangers?

Kilmarnock 1-0 Rangers in the Scotland - Premiership on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 28%, draw 24%, Rangers 48%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rangers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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