Dundee United 1-3 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
4.58
6+ Goals
7%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.03
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
11%
13.85
X/1
12%
5.51
X/2
12%
5.4
X/X
13%
4.03
2/1
10%
33.0
2/2
11%
3.9
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+5.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.39/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.17
-14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
255 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 69%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
22.7 Crosses 20.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Hibernian
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.07 xG 1.15
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
191 Passes 345
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
19.10.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 3-2 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
09.04.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 2-1 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
14.01.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-2 HT 1-2 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
11.10.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
02.04.2022 Hibernian Hibernian 1-1 HT 1-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
1-3
AWAY Hibernian
0.71 xG 1.53
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 10
294 Passes 203
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
12 Box Touches 24
30 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian saw off Dundee United 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dundee United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dundee United had 57% of the ball to Hibernian's 43%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.71 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dundee United and 1.17 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Hibernian?

Dundee United 1-3 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 42%, draw 29%, Hibernian 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dundee United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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