Hibernian 3-3 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 29% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.17
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
20%
4.23
X/2
6%
9.33
X/X
10%
5.28
2/1
9%
21.95
2/2
12%
7.28
2/X
8%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.56/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.46
-6% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 71%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
26.5 Crosses 17.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dundee United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.22 xG 1.24
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
294 Passes 236
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Hibernian Hibernian 3-1 HT 2-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
26.02.2025 Dundee United Dundee United 1-3 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
03.11.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
19.10.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 3-2 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
09.04.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 2-1 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
14.01.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-2 HT 1-2 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
3-3
AWAY Dundee United
3.05 xG 1.87
55% Ball Possession 45%
27 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 4
291 Passes 230
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
37 Box Touches 19
33 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian and Dundee United shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernian at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hibernian had 55% of the ball to Dundee United's 45%, shots finished 27-13, expected goals 3.05 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hibernian and 1.67 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Dundee United?

Hibernian 3-3 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 51%, draw 26%, Dundee United 23%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hibernian), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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