Hibernian 3-1 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.19
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
11%
4.26
X/2
7%
9.68
X/X
11%
5.35
2/1
9%
22.9
2/2
9%
7.68
2/X
7%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.50/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.41
-8% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 77%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
26.7 Crosses 17.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dundee United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.15 xG 1.11
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
314 Passes 210
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2025 Dundee United Dundee United 1-3 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
03.11.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
19.10.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 3-2 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
09.04.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 2-1 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
14.01.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-2 HT 1-2 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
11.10.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
3-1
AWAY Dundee United
1.70 xG 1.35
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
247 Passes 329
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian got the better of Dundee United 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hibernian as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hibernian had 46% of the ball to Dundee United's 54%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.70 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hibernian and 1.67 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Dundee United?

Hibernian 3-1 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 52%, draw 24%, Dundee United 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernian), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hibernian) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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