St. Johnstone 0-2 Kilmarnock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
4.16
6+ Goals
8%
19.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 33% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.64
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
12%
6.34
X/2
14%
5.2
X/X
16%
4.27
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.41
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -24%
0.95/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.18
-20% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
261 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 69%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
19.6 Crosses 27.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kilmarnock
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 1.63
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
274 Passes 217
69% Pass Accuracy 65%
17 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-1 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
23.11.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
11.08.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-3 HT 0-2 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
13.04.2024 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-2 HT 0-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
23.12.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1 HT 2-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
01.11.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-1 HT 2-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
0-2
AWAY Kilmarnock
1.43 xG 1.39
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
358 Passes 99
77% Pass Accuracy 46%
20 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock saw off St. Johnstone 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Kilmarnock made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 68% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 32%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.43 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.33 for Kilmarnock.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock?

St. Johnstone 0-2 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 32%, draw 29%, Kilmarnock 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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