St. Mirren vs Aberdeen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Mirren v Aberdeen — Team-Based Signals
St. Mirren vs Aberdeen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
St. Mirren
İKP
2-2
HT 0-1
Aberdeen
İKP
St. Mirren 1-0 Aberdeen — Actual Match Statistics
St. Mirren squeezed past Aberdeen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; St. Mirren found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, St. Mirren had 38% of the ball to Aberdeen's 62%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.22 to 0.47.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for St. Mirren and 1.17 for Aberdeen.
What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Aberdeen?
St. Mirren 1-0 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Aberdeen?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 40%, draw 25%, Aberdeen 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Mirren) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.