Dundee FC 1-2 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.51
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.81
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
18%
4.88
X/2
13%
7.4
X/X
12%
4.87
2/1
7%
24.65
2/2
12%
5.37
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.27/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.27
+3% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 67%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.6 Crosses 20.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Motherwell
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.98 xG 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
339 Passes 233
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.02.2025 Motherwell Motherwell 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
04.12.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 4-1 HT 1-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
19.10.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
06.04.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-3 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
02.12.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 3-3 HT 1-2 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
05.08.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
1-2
AWAY Motherwell
0.77 xG 2.85
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
241 Passes 296
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell edged past Dundee FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dundee FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Dundee FC had 48% of the ball to Motherwell's 52%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.77 to 2.85 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Motherwell's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dundee FC and 1.67 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Motherwell?

Dundee FC 1-2 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 41%, draw 25%, Motherwell 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundee FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundee FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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