Ross County 1-3 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
4.35
6+ Goals
12%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.42
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
7%
15.35
X/1
12%
7.82
X/2
12%
4.42
X/X
9%
4.37
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.68
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+5.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts EU Bookmakers 52%
+3% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
1.07/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.27
-16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
218 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
19.6 Crosses 21.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hearts
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 1.47
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
192 Passes 393
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2025 Hearts Hearts 2-0 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
29.12.2024 Ross County Ross County 2-2 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
28.09.2024 Hearts Hearts 1-1 HT 0-1 Ross County Ross County İKP
16.03.2024 Ross County Ross County 2-1 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
30.12.2023 Hearts Hearts 2-2 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
30.09.2023 Ross County Ross County 0-1 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ross County
1-3
AWAY Hearts
1.24 xG 2.19
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 13
180 Passes 403
63% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 38
25 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts beat Ross County 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ross County had 37% of the ball to Hearts's 63%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.24 to 2.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ross County and 1.50 for Hearts.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Hearts?

Ross County 1-3 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ross County 30%, draw 24%, Hearts 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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