Hearts 2-0 Ross County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.35
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
14.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1.8
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.4
X/1
20%
3.78
X/2
10%
12.95
X/X
10%
5.63
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.85
2/2
8%
11.45
2/X
9%
20.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.85 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
64%
-15.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+10.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Ross County EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
1.87/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.63
+17% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
385 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 67%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
26.5 Crosses 17.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ross County
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.80 xG 1.25
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
385 Passes 186
77% Pass Accuracy 63%
35 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.12.2024 Ross County Ross County 2-2 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
28.09.2024 Hearts Hearts 1-1 HT 0-1 Ross County Ross County İKP
16.03.2024 Ross County Ross County 2-1 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
30.12.2023 Hearts Hearts 2-2 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
30.09.2023 Ross County Ross County 0-1 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
22.04.2023 Hearts Hearts 6-1 HT 4-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
2-0
AWAY Ross County
1.73 xG 0.29
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
405 Passes 192
80% Pass Accuracy 63%
21 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Ross County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts got the better of Ross County 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hearts had 62% of the ball to Ross County's 38%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.73 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hearts and 1.33 for Ross County.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Ross County?

Hearts 2-0 Ross County in the Scotland - Premiership on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Ross County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hearts 48%, draw 26%, Ross County 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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