Motherwell 2-2 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
4.68
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.24
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
13%
5.81
X/2
11%
5.46
X/X
13%
3.81
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.84
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motherwell EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.31/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.16
+9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 71%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.7 Crosses 25.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motherwell
2W-2D-2L
AWAY St. Mirren
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.56 xG 1.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
245 Passes 272
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
28.09.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 2-1 HT 2-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
30.03.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 1-1 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
16.12.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
16.09.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
19.08.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-0 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motherwell
2-2
AWAY St. Mirren
0.67 xG 1.24
62% Ball Possession 38%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 7
344 Passes 165
77% Pass Accuracy 62%
8 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Motherwell vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell and St. Mirren shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Motherwell had 62% of the ball to St. Mirren's 38%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 0.67 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Motherwell and 0.67 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Motherwell vs St. Mirren?

Motherwell 2-2 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motherwell vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 34%, draw 26%, St. Mirren 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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