Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
4.01
6+ Goals
11%
18.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 29% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.52
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
13%
5.34
X/2
11%
6.08
X/X
9%
4.22
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
21%
4.31
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.6pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.75/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.17
+22% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
249 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 67%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
24.3 Crosses 19.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Hibernian
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.10 xG 1.43
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
214 Passes 334
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.12.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
01.09.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-1 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
27.01.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-2 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
11.11.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 1-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
16.09.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-2 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
18.02.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
1-1
AWAY Hibernian
0.64 xG 2.01
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
232 Passes 261
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 35
20 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock and Hibernian shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 48% of the ball to Hibernian's 52%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.64 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.50 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Hibernian?

Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 38%, draw 24%, Hibernian 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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