Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.63
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
12%
5.5
X/2
8%
5.64
X/X
10%
4.7
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
21%
3.78
2/X
9%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.23/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.00
+12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
299 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 69%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.9 Crosses 18.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Barnet
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
30.03.2018 Barnet Barnet 2-1 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
19.08.2017 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-0 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İN2
06.05.2017 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 4-1 HT 2-0 Barnet Barnet İN2
19.11.2016 Barnet Barnet 0-0 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
28.01.2012 Barnet Barnet 2-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
10.09.2011 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-1 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
1-2
AWAY Barnet
2.28 xG 1.87
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
203 Passes 175
67% Pass Accuracy 61%
39 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet squeezed past Crewe Alexandra 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Barnet found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 52% of the ball to Barnet's 48%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.28 to 1.87 — on chances, Crewe Alexandra could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 1.00 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet?

Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Barnet in the England - 2nd Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 37%, draw 26%, Barnet 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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