Shrewsbury 1-3 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
3.09
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.0
1/2
9%
27.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
14%
5.88
X/2
16%
5.38
X/X
7%
4.58
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
16%
3.49
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
12.8
Value flag · 2/X at 12.8 — our 13% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -22%
0.90/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.17
-90% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
266 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 72%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
24.7 Crosses 18.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Salford City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.95 xG 0.55
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
147 Passes 146
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Salford City Salford City 2-1 HT 2-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury FAK
21.11.2018 Salford City Salford City 1-3 HT 0-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury FAK
11.11.2018 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-1 HT 1-1 Salford City Salford City FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
1-3
AWAY Salford City
0.96 xG 0.99
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
155 Passes 248
58% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City got the better of Shrewsbury 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Salford City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 44% of the ball to Salford City's 56%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 0.96 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.33 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Salford City?

Shrewsbury 1-3 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 33%, draw 26%, Salford City 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salford City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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