Salford City 2-1 Shrewsbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.65
6+ Goals
11%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.21
1/2
10%
32.5
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
15%
4.96
X/2
14%
6.24
X/X
12%
4.49
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
10%
4.44
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 34%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.65/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.76
-93% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
332 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
37.0 Crosses 17.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Shrewsbury
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.55 xG 1.95
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
291 Passes 294
68% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.11.2018 Salford City Salford City 1-3 HT 0-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury FAK
11.11.2018 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-1 HT 1-1 Salford City Salford City FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
2-1
AWAY Shrewsbury
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
0 Passes 0
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Shrewsbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City squeezed past Shrewsbury 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Salford City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Salford City had 53% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 47%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shrewsbury led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Salford City and 2.00 for Shrewsbury.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Shrewsbury?

Salford City 2-1 Shrewsbury in the England - FA Cup on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Shrewsbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Salford City 41%, draw 25%, Shrewsbury 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salford City), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salford City) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
2 Nov 2024
18:00 Swindon Town vs Colchester Analysis →
18:00 Rushall Olympic vs Accrington Stanley Analysis →
18:00 Solihull Moors vs Maidstone United Analysis →
18:00 Hednesford Town vs Gainsborough Trinity Analysis →
18:00 Brackley Town vs Braintree Town Analysis →
18:00 Tranmere Rovers vs Oldham Athletic Analysis →