Vanersborgs IF 1-1 IFK Kumla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.56
No
36%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.7pp
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
+4.0pp
36%
BTTS No
40%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.44/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.72
-25% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
261 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs IF
1W-2D-0L
AWAY IFK Kumla
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
06.06.2025 IFK Kumla 1-1 HT 1-1 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
24.08.2024 IFK Kumla 1-1 HT 1-1 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
28.04.2024 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 1-0 HT 1-0 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs IF vs IFK Kumla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs IF and IFK Kumla shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Vanersborgs IF at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vanersborgs IF had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vanersborgs IF and 0.67 for IFK Kumla.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs IF vs IFK Kumla?

Vanersborgs IF 1-1 IFK Kumla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs IF vs IFK Kumla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanersborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs IF 44%, draw 23%, IFK Kumla 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vanersborgs IF), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vanersborgs IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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